Section 01
Where the problem happens
Define the local resource, service, exposure or risk failure.
National risk narratives cannot determine which people, assets and services fail first in a district.
Required local context
Record state/UT, district, city/block, village/ward or facility; coordinates at a privacy-safe resolution; date and season; affected people, ecosystem or asset; energy/resource flow or pollution source; observed consequence; existing operator or authority; source/method; and uncertainty.
Data reference table
Evidence Snapshot
Read each value with its reporting period, population and limitations. A historical national reference is not a local baseline or proof that an IFT proposal works.
4 measurement records still need data and a review of their relevance.
| Signal | Reference Value | Period / Population | How to Read It | Source Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warning reach | Not established Data required — not zero | Reporting period: Information Required Population and geography: Information Required | Proposed measure; no observed value is established here. Limitations: Define the measure, unit, reporting period and covered population; obtain a traceable dataset and review its suitability for this topic before using a number. | Source organisation: Information Required Direct source URL: not yet verified Source publication date: not established Verification status: Data required |
| Service continuity | Not established Data required — not zero | Reporting period: Information Required Population and geography: Information Required | Proposed measure; no observed value is established here. Limitations: Define the measure, unit, reporting period and covered population; obtain a traceable dataset and review its suitability for this topic before using a number. | Source organisation: Information Required Direct source URL: not yet verified Source publication date: not established Verification status: Data required |
| Loss avoided | Not established Data required — not zero | Reporting period: Information Required Population and geography: Information Required | Proposed measure; no observed value is established here. Limitations: Define the measure, unit, reporting period and covered population; obtain a traceable dataset and review its suitability for this topic before using a number. | Source organisation: Information Required Direct source URL: not yet verified Source publication date: not established Verification status: Data required |
| Adaptation coverage | Not established Data required — not zero | Reporting period: Information Required Population and geography: Information Required | Proposed measure; no observed value is established here. Limitations: Define the measure, unit, reporting period and covered population; obtain a traceable dataset and review its suitability for this topic before using a number. | Source organisation: Information Required Direct source URL: not yet verified Source publication date: not established Verification status: Data required |
Different surveys, administrative records, estimates and reporting years are not interchangeable. No combined IFT score is calculated from these rows.
Evidence coverage and review log (CSV) · Structured evidence register (JSON)
Section 02
Why the problem happens
Test physical, operational, economic and institutional causes together.
Coarse hazard data
Check local measurements, operating records, infrastructure condition, behaviour, incentives and alternatives before confirming this cause.
Exposure growth
Check local measurements, operating records, infrastructure condition, behaviour, incentives and alternatives before confirming this cause.
Weak capacity assessment
Check local measurements, operating records, infrastructure condition, behaviour, incentives and alternatives before confirming this cause.
A hotspot, outage, failed asset or trend can have multiple causes. Weather, season, demand, maintenance, regulation, land, water and market conditions may interact.
Section 03
Evidence
Separate measured condition, model, estimate and proposal.
- Decision question Minimum evidence
- Where and when? Boundary, coordinates/resolution, date, season and duration
- What was measured? Indicator, unit, instrument/model, calibration and method
- Compared with what? Baseline, standard, counterfactual and uncertainty
- Who or what is exposed? Population, asset, ecosystem and distribution
- What caused it? Source/process trace and competing explanations
- Did action work? Target, actual result, cost, reliability and adverse effects
Capacity ≠ delivered energy. Collection ≠ recovery. Tree planting ≠ ecosystem restoration. Policy launch ≠ measured impact.
Section 04
How the parts work together
What must function as one chain.
Flood and drought
Define resource/input, infrastructure, operator, standard, monitoring, maintenance, finance, risk, end-of-life and public accountability.
Heat and cyclone
Landslide and wildfire
Coastal and water risk
Crop/infrastructure vulnerability
Section 05
A solution suited to India
Choose the mechanism that fits this place and service.
Build dynamic district risk maps tied to sector plans, finance, warnings and recovery learning.
BOUNDED PILOT
Complete a multi-hazard stress test for one block or urban zone.
Pre-register the baseline, comparison, technology and non-technology options, environmental and social safeguards, full lifecycle cost, operation/maintenance owner, measurement period and stop/redesign rules.
Section 06
Roadmap
Move from protection to durable system change.
- 01 · 0–30 days
- Verify immediate risk, source and responsible operator
02 · 30–90 days - Build baseline, alternatives and urgent protection
03 · 3–12 months - Pilot and instrument the selected intervention
04 · 1–3 years - Evaluate reliability, cost, equity and lifecycle effects
05 · 3–5 years - Build institutions, workforce and infrastructure065+ years
- Scale only after transfer, resilience and maintenance review
Section 07
How to measure improvement
Track service, environment, resilience and economic effects.
Population/assets at risk
Baseline → target → actual → uncertainty → decision
Warning reach
Baseline → target → actual → uncertainty → decision
Service continuity
Baseline → target → actual → uncertainty → decision
Loss avoided
Baseline → target → actual → uncertainty → decision
Adaptation coverage
Baseline → target → actual → uncertainty → decision
Scale
Reliable benefit, acceptable lifecycle impact and operating capacity.
Modify
Partial benefit but design, cost, equity or durability needs repair.
Stop
No credible net benefit, unacceptable harm or stronger alternative.
Section 08
Risks and protections
A clean label cannot substitute for lifecycle evidence.
- Prevent displacement of communities, unsafe work and unequal energy burden
- Assess land, water, biodiversity and cumulative environmental effects
- Include supply-chain, operation, maintenance and end-of-life impacts
- Protect household affordability and reliability during transition
- Publish model assumptions, uncertainty, conflicts and monitoring gaps
- Use consent, privacy-safe geography and redaction for citizen reports
